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Top 3 trade ideas for 25 March 2026

Posted on: Mar 26 2026

Trade ideas for GBPUSD, USDCHF, and EURGBP are available today. The ideas expire on 25 March 2026 at 9:00 AM (GMT +3).

GBPUSD trade idea

The GBPUSD currency pair is showing signs of forming a local top, which is negatively affecting market sentiment and increasing the likelihood of a bearish impulse developing. Despite this, the hourly timeframe allows for a continuation of the upward move in the near term before the downtrend resumes. This creates conditions for a potential extension of the corrective rise followed by a reversal lower. The preferred strategy remains to look for sell opportunities on rallies. The key resistance zone is located at 1.3460, where selling pressure is expected to strengthen. Today’s trading idea for GBPUSD предполагает placing a pending Sell Limit order.

The news background for GBPUSD indicates a predominance of bearish expectations — 53% versus 47%. The risk-to-maximum-profit ratio exceeds 1:4. Potential profit upon reaching the first take-profit level is 173 points, the second 265 points, while potential losses are limited to 61 points.

Trading plan

  • Entry point: 1.3460
  • Target 1: 1.3287
  • Target 2: 1.3195
  • Stop-Loss: 1.3521

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USDCHF trade idea

The USDCHF currency pair maintains a medium-term bullish bias. The current market structure indicates buyer dominance, while corrective pullbacks are likely to be limited by the previous day’s low. Despite the overall upward momentum, the risk-to-reward ratio for opening long positions from current levels remains unfavorable, reducing the attractiveness of buying without a prior pullback to more advantageous levels. The preferred strategy remains to look for buying opportunities on dips. The key support zone is located at 0.7860. Today’s trading idea for USDCHF предполагает placing a pending Buy Limit order.

The news background for USDCHF shows a predominance of bullish expectations — 52% versus 48%. The risk-to-maximum-profit ratio is 1:5. Potential profit upon reaching the first take-profit level is 80 points, the second 100 points, while potential losses are limited to 20 points.

Trading plan

  • Entry point: 0.7860
  • Target 1: 0.7940
  • Target 2: 0.7960
  • Stop-Loss: 0.7840

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EURGBP trade idea

The EURGBP currency pair shows a moderately bearish bias. The formation of a Doji candlestick pattern indicates uncertainty and a possible exhaustion of the upward impulse, which increases the probability of a shift toward a decline in the short term. The 0.8680 level acts as key resistance and has repeatedly played an important role for the market. Additional technical resistance is forming near the 50-day EMA on the daily chart, which further reinforces the significance of the 0.8680 area. The preferred strategy remains selling on rallies into the resistance zone. Today’s trading idea for EURGBP предполагает placing a pending Sell Limit order.

For EURGBP, there is a predominance of bullish sentiment — 52% versus 48%. The risk-to-maximum-profit ratio exceeds 1:3. Potential profit upon reaching the first take-profit level is 53 points, the second 63 points, while potential losses are limited to 18 points.

Trading plan

  • Entry point: 0.8675
  • Target 1: 0.8622
  • Target 2: 0.8612
  • Stop-Loss: 0.8693

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New Zealand manufacturing PMI holds at 55 in February, strongest run since 2021

Posted on: Mar 13 2026

New Zealand manufacturing activity held strong in February with the PMI at 55.0, marking the first three-month run above 55 since mid-2021.

Summary:

  • New Zealand manufacturing PMI held at 55.0 in February, signalling continued expansion.

  • Result was almost unchanged from January’s 55.1 and above the long-run average of 52.5.

  • Marks the first three-month run above 55 since mid-2021.

  • New orders (57.6) and production (56.7) led the expansion.

  • Employment eased slightly but remained in expansion at 50.4.

  • Manufacturers reported stronger orders, enquiries and export demand.

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector continued to expand solidly in February, with activity holding at elevated levels for a third straight month, according to the latest BNZ–BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI came in at 55.0 in February, almost unchanged from 55.1 in January and comfortably above the survey’s long-run average of 52.5. Readings above 50 indicate expansion in manufacturing activity.

The latest result also marks an important milestone for the sector. BusinessNZ Director of Advocacy Catherine Beard noted that February represents the first time since mid-2021 that the PMI has recorded three consecutive months at 55 or higher, suggesting a sustained pickup in manufacturing conditions after a softer period over the past couple of years.

Encouragingly, all five of the survey’s sub-indices remained in expansion territory during the month. The strongest components were new orders (57.6) and production (56.7), both of which point to firm underlying demand and a solid pipeline of work for manufacturers.

Other indicators also showed continued, if more modest, gains. Deliveries registered 51.0, signalling slightly faster supplier activity, while employment edged down from January but remained in expansion at 50.4. Although the labour component softened slightly, the overall result suggests manufacturers are broadly maintaining staffing levels as activity improves.

Sentiment among manufacturers also improved during the month. The proportion of positive comments from survey respondents rose to 55.5%, up from 47.7% in January, though slightly below December’s 57.1% reading. Businesses reported an increase in orders, enquiries and sales, with some pointing to stronger export demand and improving conditions in parts of the manufacturing sector. Others noted a growing pipeline of work and signs of gradually improving business confidence.

BNZ Senior Economist Doug Steel cautioned that the survey period largely predates the latest geopolitical developments in the Middle East, which have recently dominated global market attention. Even so, he said the February result provides a reassuring snapshot of the sector’s momentum.

According to Steel, the PMI reading well above the 50 breakeven level indicates the manufacturing sector is entering the current period of heightened global uncertainty from a relatively solid position. While external risks could influence activity in coming months, February’s data suggest the sector continues to build momentum as demand conditions gradually improve.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.